x

x

FLORIDA POLITICS
Since 2002, daily Florida political news and commentary

 

UPDATE: Every morning we review and individually digest Florida political news articles, editorials and punditry. Our sister site, FLA Politics was selected by Campaigns & Elections as one of only ten state blogs in the nation
"every political insider should be reading right now."

E-Mail Florida Politics

This is our Main Page
Our Sister Site
On FaceBook
Follow us on Twitter
Our Google+ Page
Contact [E-Mail Florida Politics]
Site Feed
...and other resources

 

Welcome To Florida Politics

Thanks for visiting. On a semi-daily basis we scan Florida's major daily newspapers for significant Florida political news and punditry. We also review the editorial pages and political columnists/pundits for Florida political commentary. The papers we review include: the Miami Herald, Sun-Sentinel, Palm Beach Post, Naples News, Sarasota Herald Tribune, St Pete Times, Tampa Tribune, Orlando Sentinel, the Daytona Beach News-Journal, Tallahassee Democrat, and, occasionally, the Florida Times Union; we also review the political news blogs associated with these newspapers.

For each story, column, article or editorial we deem significant, we post at least the headline and link to the piece; the linked headline always appears in quotes. We quote the headline for two reasons: first, to allow researchers looking for the cited piece to find it (if the link has expired) by searching for the original title/headline via a commercial research service. Second, quotation of the original headline permits readers to appreciate the spin from the original piece, as opposed to our spin.

Not that we don't provide spin; we do, and plenty of it. Our perspective appears in post headlines, the subtitles within the post (in bold), and the excerpts from the linked stories we select to quote; we also occasionally provide other links and commentary about certain stories. While our bias should be immediately apparent to any reader, we nevertheless attempt to link to every article, column or editorial about Florida politics in every major online Florida newspaper.

 

Older posts [back to 2002]

Previous Articles by Derek Newton: Ten Things Fox on Line 1 Stem Cells are Intelligent Design Katrina Spin No Can't Win Perhaps the Most Important Race Senate Outlook The Nelson Thing Deep, Dark Secret Smart Boy Bringing Guns to a Knife Fight Playing to our Strength  

The Blog for Friday, April 01, 2005

Lucky Duck

    An interesting report, the US Count Votes' National Election Data Archive Project, Analysis of the 2004 Presidential Election Exit Poll Discrepancies* (.pdf file), explores:
    the Discrepancies between the Official Election Results and the Exit Polls [in the 2004 election]?
    From the Abstract on page 3:
    Several methods have been used to estimate the probability that the national exit poll results would be as different as they were from the national popular vote by random chance. These estimates range from 1 in 959,000 to 1 in 1,240. No matter how one calculates it, the discrepancy cannot be attributed to chance.
    There is much more in the Analysis, much of it technical. (via dKos).
    -----
    * The "Authors and Endorsers" of the analysis include:

    - Josh Mitteldorf, Ph.D. Temple University Statistics Department
    - Kathy Dopp, MS mathematics, USCountVotes, President
    - Steven F. Freeman, Ph.D. Visiting Scholar & Affiliated Faculty, Center for Organizational Dynamics, University of Pennsylvania
    - Brian Joiner, Ph.D. Professor of Statistics and Director of Statistical Consulting (ret), University of Wisconsin
    - Frank Stenger, Ph.D. Professor of Numerical Analysis, School of Computing, University of Utah
    - Richard G. Sheehan, Ph.D. Professor, Department of Finance, University of Notre Dame
    - Paul F. Velleman, Ph.D. Associate Professor, Department of Statistical Sciences, Cornell University
    - Victoria Lovegren, Ph.D. Lecturer, Department of Mathematics, Case Western Reserve University
    - Campbell B. Read, Ph.D. Professor Emeritus, Department of Statistical Science, Southern Methodist University
    - Jonathan Simon, J.D. Alliance for Democracy
    - Ron Baiman, Ph.D. Institute of Government and Public Affairs, University of Illinois at Chicago
    - Bruce O'Dell, USCountVotes, Vice President

9:30 AM

<< Home