Zogby said much can be learned from the gridlock that seems to plague the race.

At this stage, incumbent Bush shouldn't be struggling in key states where 131 electoral votes are at stake, he said. Bush's struggles, he said, are Kerry's gains.

Undecided voters historically break toward the challenger at the end of a campaign, he said.

That's why he said he has no compunction about calling the race for Kerry.

"It's a hunch," said Zogby, who is known for his unconventional methods. "I'm looking at the president's numbers as an incumbent, and they're not good."

They acknowledge using flawed databases, but say they are sounding alarm.

The Florida Republican Party said Thursday that more than 900 felons already have voted illegally or requested absentee ballots, triggering another controversy over the party's aggressive efforts to identify Floridians who might be unqualified to vote.

Using two controversial and flawed state databases, Republicans also said they identified an additional 13,568 felons expected to vote by Election Day, based on their participation in the 2000 or 2002 elections or their recent registration as a new voter....

"We believe this is simply the tip of the iceberg and there could be potentially additional felons who have registered," said Mindy Tucker Fletcher, spokesman for the Florida Republican Party.

But within hours of the Republicans' announcement came indications that the GOP list may suffer some of the same problems that caused Secretary of State Glenda Hood to scrap her controversial list of 47,763 suspected felon voters in July.

Reporters for the St. Petersburg Times quickly found two Tampa Bay area individuals on the GOP list who say they have had their voting rights restored....

Besides the state's controversial felon voting list, it [the GoPers] relied on a Florida Parole Commission clemency list, updated through Oct.14, that has proven inaccurate in the past because it does not include many felons whose rights were restored under Gov. Reubin Askew in the 1970s.

Republicans and Democrats are accusing each other of intimidating and harassing Haitian-American voters at early voting polling sites in Miami-Dade County.

In Little Haiti, Democratic activists say Republican observers are demanding that community volunteers speak English when assisting Creole-speaking voters.

Republicans counter that Kerry-Edwards supporters are pressuring voters inside the polling place at the Lemon City Library.

In North Miami, a prominent Haitian-American activist said GOP observers tried to kick her out of the North Miami Library, where fellow Haitian-American voters were soliciting her help with the ballot questions.

Republicans, including Republican National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie, said the Democrats were the ones who overstepped the bounds.

Broward County's election office is resending about 76,000 absentee ballots to voters who say they asked for but still haven't received them, an ominous sign of voting problems just days before the nation again sets its eyes on Florida.

The elections office is still trying to discover why so many people haven't received the absentee ballots. But with so little time before Tuesday's election, officials will mail out replacements -- thousands of them -- today. The ballots will be shipped via overnight mail to people outside the county, said Broward Supervisor of Elections Brenda Snipes.

Broward's mix-up is the most profound, but not the only, glitch in the absentee voter process across Florida. From teenagers away at school to homeowners away on travel, complaints are mounting that absentee ballots have somehow been lost between here and there. Voters in Palm Beach County have reported similar problems.

Gov. Jeb Bush said Wednesday he would have no problem if Republican poll watchers challenge the eligibility of voters before they cast ballots on Election Day, despite growing concern that it could create gridlock and scare away qualified voters.

As the U.S. Senate candidates traded charges, a Tampa television station condemned a new Martinez ad, saying his campaign used unauthorized debate footage in an unfair way.

Martinez's ad omits the context -- the words Iraq and weapons of mass destruction -- and fails to mention Castor's justification. Instead, the narrator of the commercial asks where the ''liberal'' Betty Castor stands on the ''war on terror.'' It then plays Martinez's question about supporting ''the war'' and Castor simply saying "No."

The results were consistent with the last poll Gallup conducted in Florida, which found in late September that 52 percent of respondents chose Bush and 43 percent Kerry.